<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<recommendedContent xmlns="http://api.mspoke.com">
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_459"
                     title="Murtha Dead at 77"
                     score="0.011"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/Washington-Watch/Washington-Watch/tb/18388?impressionId=1265818834470"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Representative John P. Murtha (D-Pa.), 77, long-time chairman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense, died yesterday afternoon from complications following a planned laparoscopic cholecystectomy, according to a statement from the congressman&apos;s office.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He had been admitted to the intensive care unit at Virginia Hospital Center in Arlington on Jan. 31, days after surgeons at the National Naval Medical Center in Bethesda, Md., accidentally nicked his intestine during the operation, according to a report in &lt;em&gt;The Washington Post&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In that same report, Rep. Bob Brady (D-Pa.), a close friend of Murtha&apos;s, said the congressman developed an infection and fever.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Citing a request for privacy from the Murtha family and patient privacy laws, a spokesperson for the National Naval Medical Center declined to provide information on the operation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In a statement, Virginia Hospital Center said Murtha died &quot;despite aggressive critical care interventions.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;


  &lt;p&gt;Mark Malangoni, MD, surgeon-in-chief at MetroHealth Medical Center in Cleveland, told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt; that serious complications, including bowel damage and death, are not common following cholecystectomy. More complicated patients, such as the obese and diabetics, have a greater risk of complications and of a switch to an open procedure.&lt;/p&gt;
    &lt;p&gt;Death is extremely rare in healthy individuals, occurring in no more than one per 1,000 patients, according to the American College of Surgeons (ACS).
    &lt;p&gt;More common, but still infrequent, are bleeding and leakage of bile, both of which can be treated fairly easily, said Malangoni, a regent of the ACS.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;When the bowel is damaged, as reportedly occurred in Murtha&apos;s case, it typically occurs in two ways -- either from a sharp injury when the trocars used for a laparoscopic procedure are inserted or from a cautery burn.
    &lt;p&gt;Both types of injury can go unnoticed by the surgeon and may not become apparent for days after the operation, Malangoni said.&lt;p&gt;
    &lt;p&gt;Although he did not know the details of Murtha&apos;s case, Malangoni said a patient would usually be admitted right away, at least overnight, if the surgeon realized that an injury had occurred. The procedure likely would have switched from a laparoscopic one to an open one as well.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;A 2009 Cochrane Review comparing laparoscopic versus open cholecystectomy for patients with symptomatic cholecystolithiasis found no difference in mortality in 38 trials. No patients died in the laparoscopic group and only 0.09% died in the open group.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Severe complications were reported in 2.2% of the laparoscopic patients and 6.8% of the open patients.&lt;/p&gt;


 &lt;p&gt;Malangoni said most surgeons become experienced with performing laparoscopic cholecystectomies before completing their residency; most will perform 40 or 50 by the end of training.&lt;p&gt;
    &lt;p&gt;&quot;It is a very common operation, so once out into practice, most general surgeons are doing dozens of these each year,&quot; he said. &quot;So your experience comes about pretty quickly.&quot;
    &lt;p&gt;It is unclear how much experience Murtha&apos;s surgeon had.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Murtha had recently become the longest serving member of Congress in Pennsylvania state history.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;First elected in 1974, Murtha, a former Marine, was the first Vietnam War combat veteran to serve in Congress, and he served as an advocate for the military throughout his career. He was also a prominent critic of the Iraq War.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Murtha is survived by his wife, Joyce, and three children.&lt;/p&gt;

    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_448"
                     title="Inflammatory Bowel Disease Linked to Dangerous VT (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.011"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/Gastroenterology/InflammatoryBowelDisease/tb/18362?impressionId=1265818834470"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Patients with active inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) could be at far greater risk for potentially deadly blood clots than doctors previously thought, a new British study found.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nonhospitalized patients with active IBD are 16 times more likely to suffer venous thromboembolism than the general population, with an occurrence rate of 6.4 per 1,000 person-years (HR 15.8, 95% CI 9.8 to 25.5, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.0001), according to an online report in the Feb. 9 issue of &lt;em&gt;The Lancet&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The authors concluded that such patients could benefit from preventative treatment to prevent blood clotting.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Despite the low absolute risks during nonhospitalised periods, these results suggest that active inflammatory bowel disease in ambulatory patients might be a far greater risk factor for venous thromboembolism than previously recognised,&quot; Matthew J. Grainge, MD, of the University of Nottingham, and colleagues wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Patients with venous thromboembolism in the leg have a short term-mortality rate of about 6%, increasing as high as 20% when the clot has circulated to the lung.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Researchers believe that infection and inflammation, such as occur in IBD, predispose patients to this life-threatening condition, and those with inflammatory bowel disease seem to be at particular risk.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Grainge and colleagues used records from the U.K. General Practice Research Database from November 1987 through July 2001, to match 13,756 patients with IBD against 71,672 controls without the disease.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Of the subjects, 139 patients and 165 controls developed a blood clot during the study period.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their results agreed with previous studies indicating that patients hospitalized for IBD are at high risk for venous thromboembolism. However, the new study also found the danger extends to nonhospitalized IBD patients, particularly during a flare-up.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Overall, the researchers reported, patients with IBD had three times as much risk of an embolism as controls (HR 3.4, 95% CI 2.7 to 4.3; &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.0001) with an occurrence rate of 2.6 per 1,000 per person-years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;During a flare-up, IBD patients were at dramatically greater risk.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers cautioned that the study excluded patients likely to have received corticosteroids for chronic respiratory disease and rheumatoid arthritis, so the results may not reflect blood clotting rates in these populations.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They also noted that they relied on anonymous patient records and were dependent on family doctors&apos; diagnoses of inflammatory bowel disease, flare-ups and venous thromboembolism.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Despite the limitations of the study, they argued that research into ways to prevent embolism in IBD outpatients is warranted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;We believe that the medical profession needs to recognise the increased risk in people with inflammatory bowel disease when assessing the likelihood of venous thromboembolism and to address the difficulty of reducing this risk in patients with a flare who are not admitted to hospital,&quot; they wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They suggested that strategies used to prevent blood clots in hospitalized patients  --  courses of low molecular weight heparin or other newly available anticoagulants  --  might be also be used to prevent clots in nonhospitalized IBD patients experiencing a flare-up.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In an accompanying editorial, Geoffrey C. Nguyen, MD, and Erik L. Yeo, MD, of the University of Toronto, noted that &quot;the use of steroid prescriptions as a surrogate indicator of acute disease flare restricts the applicability of Grainge and colleagues&apos; findings to flares that are moderate to severe. Whether patients with mild flares are also at increased risk is not clear.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Recognition of venous thromboembolism might be increased during periods of frequent contact with doctors, such as during flares compared with during remission of inflammatory bowel disease, thus potentially introducing a bias in ascertainment of venous thromboembolism,&quot; they added.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nguyen and Yeo also argued that the clinical efficacy and cost-effectiveness of pharmacological prevention in patients with inflammatory bowel disease should be proven before it is routinely recommended during acute flares.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, they acknowledged that such evidence could be difficult to acquire, given the low numbers of nonhospitalized IBD patients who suffer venous thromboembolism.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;A pragmatic initial approach to reduction of the rates of morbidity and mortality resulting from venous thromboembolism in ambulatory patients with inflammatory bowel disease would be nonpharmacological thromboprophylaxis, including patients&apos; education and awareness of risk and signs and symptoms of venous thromboembolism, and use of support stockings,&quot; they wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Physicians should clinically assess for signs and symptoms of this embolism during visits for acute flare of inflammatory bowel disease.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The study was funded by the National Association for Colitis and Crohn&apos;s Disease.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The authors reported no financial conflicts of interest.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Nguyen reported serving on advisory boards for Schering-Plough, Canada, and Abbott Pharmaceuticals.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Yeo reported receiving an honorarium from sanofi-aventis.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_361"
                     title="Hidden Dangers of Herbal Meds Reviewed"
                     score="0.007"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/AlternativeMedicine/tb/18244?impressionId=1265818834470"
                     
      Herbal medicines are not always the harmless nostrums that many patients and even some physicians think, but may actually contribute to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, researchers warned in a review covering 44 years of research into the subject.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;Many such products, including aloe vera, ginkgo biloba, ginseng, and green tea, can interact with conventional cardiovascular drugs and lead to serious adverse reactions, according to Arshad Jahangir, MD, of the Mayo Clinic in Scottsdale, Ariz., and two other Mayo physicians.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;&quot;There is a clear need for better public and physician understanding of herbal products through health education, early detection and management of herbal toxicities, scientific scrutiny of their use, and research on their safety and effectiveness,&quot; they wrote in the Feb. 9 &lt;em&gt;Journal of the American College of Cardiology&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jahangir and colleagues also called for increased regulation of such products, at least requiring manufacturers of herbal medicines to register with the FDA and provide evidence of good manufacturing practices.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Some of these adverse drug reactions are preventable,&quot; Jahangir told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt; in a telephone interview. &quot;Simple things like taking a good history or giving that history and discussing these issues, probably we can avoid [such reactions].&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Other physicians contacted by &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt; and ABC News agreed that the growth in popularity of herbal medicines poses problems for physicians and patients.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Because these remedies are &apos;natural,&apos; their potential dangers are not considered the same way they would be if they were medication,&quot; commented Suzanne Steinbaum, MD, a cardiologist at Lenox Hill Hospital in New York City, in an e-mail.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;For many reasons, patients tend not to disclose to their doctors if they are taking herbal remedies, including fear that their doctors won&apos;t approve or they will be told to stop them,&quot; Steinbaum added. &quot;This lack of knowledge and full-disclosure, for some, might be a fatal omission.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jahangir and colleagues reviewed nearly 90 publications that have addressed herbal or complementary therapies and cardiovascular effects since 1966.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their &lt;em&gt;JACC&lt;/em&gt; article listed 15 common herbal medicines known to interact adversely with conventional cardiovascular drugs.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In many cases, the herbal products compete with the regular medicines for the same drug-metabolizing cytochrome P450 enzymes, potentiating the latter&apos;s effects. In other cases, the herbal products have their own cardiovascular effects.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Many physicians already know that grapefruit juice occupies the CYP3A4 enzyme, leading to slower-than-expected metabolism and, therefore, higher blood levels of a host of pharmaceuticals.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;These include the statins, calcium channel antagonists, several common anti-arrhythmic drugs, and the angiotensin receptor blocker irbesartan (Avapro), Jahangir and colleagues noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Garlic is one of several common herbal remedies with specific cardiovascular effects in its own right (others include ginkgo biloba, ginseng, and saw palmetto). Garlic inhibits platelet aggregation and thus can lead to increased bleeding risks when combined with aspirin, clopidogrel (Plavix), or warfarin (Coumadin), the researchers noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Mayo group identified 10 herbal products that increase bleeding risks with anticoagulant and antiplatelet drugs, as well as 14 that can induce arrhythmias.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In all, Jahangir and colleagues listed 27 herbal products that patients with cardiovascular diseases would do well to avoid. These include such common and harmless-seeming products as green tea, capsicum pepper, licorice, and kelp, as well as grapefruit juice and garlic.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;We need to check with our patients what type of products they are using, to identify these potential interactions,&quot; Jahangir told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He cited the previously reported figure of 100,000 deaths annually from drug interactions, adding, &quot;We don&apos;t even know how many of these are due to use of compounds that we are not aware that our patients are taking.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jahangir said he was surprised, in preparing the review, at the scale of hebal medicine use in the U.S.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He and his colleagues found data from the 1990s suggesting that more patients consult complementary and alternative medicine providers than regular physicians.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The total annual out-of-pocket expenditure on complementary and alternative medicine services and products also was greater than for conventional physician services.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The surprise for me was . . . how much people are willing to spend on a type of therapy which has not shown, in any scientific way, to be effective or safe,&quot; Jahangir said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He added that the trend may reflect shortcomings of the conventional medical system.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;What is the reason people are going there? Is it because there is some unmet type of need that we are not recognizing as practitioners of conventional medicine?&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jahangir said it may be that physicians aren&apos;t spending enough time with patients to understand their true needs. He said it appears that, &quot;despite the advancement in our technology and new medicines, there is a demand for alternative therapies that is increasing.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He recommended that, in addition to asking patients in detail about herbal and other alternative therapies they may be using, physicians should educate themselves on what these therapies purport to do and what is known about their real biological effects.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;http://nccam.nih.gov&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://nccam.nih.gov&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine&lt;/a&gt; at the National Institutes of Health is a good starting point for such information, both for physicians and for patients, Jahangir said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Lenox Hill&apos;s Steinbaum said it was important that conventional physicians &quot;become more open-minded and accepting&quot; of alternative medicine, if only because so many of their patients are already practicing it.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;David Meyerson, MD, JD, a Johns Hopkins University cardiologist, told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt; and ABC News in an e-mail that he advises patients to limit their use of &quot;unstudied and unproven and FDA-unregulated herbal medications.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It&apos;s unfortunately very big business, and potential drug interactions and potential harmful effects abound,&quot; he wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But another physician criticized the Mayo physicians&apos; emphasis on adverse effects in their review.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;For many of products listed, evidence for side effects seems to be minimal,&quot; Scott Grundy, MD, of the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center in Dallas, argued in an e-mail.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He agreed that the efficacy and safety of such drugs remains largely unproven, but added, &quot;It is mainly for these reasons that they cannot be recommended for use.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Creating alarm about side effects &quot;may not be the appropriate way to discourage their use,&quot; Grundy said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;This article was developed in collaboration with ABC News. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/upload/2009/10/1/14357_1.jpg&quot; mce_src=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/upload/2009/10/1/14357_1.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_304"
                     title="&apos;Virtual&apos; Colon Scans Effective in Seniors (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.002"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/HematologyOncology/ColonCancer/tb/18164?impressionId=1265818834470"
                     
      Patients 65 and older are as suitable as younger individuals for CT colonography, said researchers conducting a large retrospective study.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;Advanced neoplasias were detected with CT colonography  --  often called &quot;virtual colonoscopy&quot;  --  in older patients at more than double the rate in the general screening population, reported David H. Kim, MD, of the University of Wisconsin in Madison, Wis., and colleagues in the February issue of &lt;em&gt;Radiology&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;They found that 7.6% of older patients had advanced neoplasias, compared with 3.2% of all patients screened in the university&apos;s clinic (&lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.001).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;On the basis of this and other findings in 577 individuals 65 and older versus the entire group of 3,120 patients undergoing the procedure, Kim and colleagues concluded that &quot;CT colonography performance is maintained in an older cohort.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Overall, the observations from this clinical experience confirm that CT colonography may be a valuable screening modality in the older population,&quot; they wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;On the other hand, the study did not address several objections raised by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) in its decision last year to deny Medicare coverage for the procedure. (See &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PublicHealthPolicy/Medicare/14186&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PublicHealthPolicy/Medicare/14186&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Medicare Finalizes Denial of Virtual Colonoscopy Coverage&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;CMS had pointed to relatively low sensitivity of CT colonography compared with optical colonoscopy in prospective trials, especially for small lesions.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The agency also determined that CT colonography increased the costs of positive findings, since abnormalities in the CT scans must be confirmed with optical colonoscopy. In addition, CMS said there was no evidence to support claims that the less invasive imaging procedure would be more acceptable to patients and therefore would raise screening rates.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The data analyzed by Kim and colleagues did not allow for calculations of false-negative rates or predictive values of positive or negative findings. Nor did the researchers report cost information.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mean age of their older cohort was 69.2 (SD 3.8). The oldest was 79.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers reported that 15.3% of the older patients were referred for optical colonoscopy on the basis of the CT results, compared with 7.9% of the overall screening group.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Less than 4% of positive findings were determined to be false with the optical procedure (3.6% for polyps 6 to 10 mm in diameter, 2.1% for larger lesions).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Of the 59 advanced neoplasias identified in the older patients, all but three were at least 10 mm in size.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The scans also suggested abnormalities outside the colon in 89 (15.4%) patients. Of these, 45 received a full workup, which revealed substantial and previously unsuspected diagnoses in 21 cases  -- 18 were vascular aneurysms. The other three included one lung tumor, a femoral hernia, and a malrotation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Kim and colleagues reported that no &quot;substantial complications&quot; such as perforations or major hemorrhage occurred in the older patients, either with the CT scan or follow-up colonoscopy.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They also indicated that the ratio of large to small neoplasias was similar in the older patients compared with their CT screening group as a whole. Histologic and morphologic findings were similar as well.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers cited the observational nature of the study, in which negative findings were not corroborated with optical colonoscopy, and its restriction to a single center as its main limitations.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;No external funding for the study was reported.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Kim and one co-author reported relationships with Viatronix and Medicsight and are co-founders of a company called VirtuoCTC, which produces educational materials on CT colonography.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_183"
                     title="Gastric Bypass Extends Life for Most Patients (CME/CE)"
                     score="-0.003"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/tb/18020?impressionId=1265818834470"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;For most patients in most categories, bariatric surgery increases life expectancy, according to a new mathematical model.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Only when short-term mortality following bariatric surgery is expected to be high or the likelihood of success is low will the procedure fail to improve life expectancy, researchers reported in the January &lt;em&gt;Archives of Surgery&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Computer modeling predicted that a hypothetical &quot;base case&quot; patient  --  a 42-year-old woman with a body mass index of 45  --  would gain 2.95 years of additional survival following bariatric surgery, according to Daniel P. Schauer, MD, of the University of Cincinnati, and colleagues.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Surgery failed to be beneficial in the model only when 30-day mortality reached 9.5% or the likelihood that surgery would not add life-years was 2% or less, they found.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Baseline 30-day mortality in the model was 0.2%, and the baseline efficacy of surgery in extending life expectancy was 53%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;While not all patients are guaranteed a good outcome, our model indicates that gastric bypass increases life expectancy for most patient subgroups,&quot; they concluded.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their analysis was based on a Markov decision model using published data to estimate 30-day mortality following bariatric surgery and the efficacy of surgery in reducing long-term death rates.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The latter had two components: reduction in excess mortality associated with obesity, and research data on long-term mortality following bariatric surgery.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Excess mortality estimates came from National Health Interview Survey data on some 400,000 participants from 1991 to 1996 linked to the National Death Index. Inputs on surgery efficacy were derived from a 2007 study of nearly 8,000 patients who had undergone gastric bypass and the same number of medically treated or untreated obese controls.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That study found that the procedure cut death rates by half during about seven years of follow-up. (See &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/6480&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/6480&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Missing Link Found: Bariatric Surgery Reduces Mortality&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Schauer and colleagues obtained rates of inhospital mortality following bariatric surgery from the 2005 National Inpatient Survey, then multiplied them by three to estimate 30-day mortality.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers explained that according to earlier research, inhospital death rates typically underestimate 30-day mortality by a factor of two to three.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their threefold correction factor represents &quot;a conservative estimate that biases the model against gastric bypass surgery,&quot; they wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Schauer and colleagues tested this correction factor and other aspects of the model in sensitivity analyses.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The biggest gains in life expectancy occurred in younger women with relatively high BMI values, the model showed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The age effect was less important than BMI at the time of surgery. A 35-year-old woman with BMI of 45 would gain about 3.2 years of extra life, whereas at 55, a similarly obese woman would gain about 2.5 extra years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But a 35-year-old woman with BMI of 55 could expect to live five more years with surgery, the model indicated.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Men in general derived less survival benefit from bariatric surgery, particularly with advancing age at the time of the procedure.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;At 35, the difference in life expectancy gained was roughly 10%, but by age 75 it had grown to about 50%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The sensitivity analyses found that relatively large changes in most parameters used in the model did not affect the overall results substantially.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The effect of 30-day mortality on whether or not surgery was beneficial for long-term survival was related to BMI and gender.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For women with a BMI of 40, 30-day mortality of more than 5% would mean surgery was not helpful, but short-term mortality had to exceed 15% for surgery not to be preferable for those with BMI of 55 or more. These thresholds were about 10% higher for men.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The efficacy of surgery in reducing mortality was less important for older men, the analysis also showed. A 75-year-man with a BMI of 35 could expect only a very slight gain in life span  --  perhaps one or two months.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Younger patients have lower surgical risk and more time over which to realize the benefits of surgery. For older patients, the gain is smaller, and for some, gastric bypass surgery will decrease life expectancy,&quot; Schauer and colleagues wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, they identified several potentially serious limitations to the analysis.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The study of long-term mortality following bariatric surgery was conducted at a single center and was not randomized. Additionally, long-term complications, such as need for repeat surgery, were not addressed in the model. Certain other risks that might be heightened after bariatric surgery were excluded as well, and quality of life was not modeled.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The decision analysis presented here is a step forward in understanding optimal patient selection but also highlights some of the areas for which better data are needed,&quot; the researchers wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases funded the study.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;No potential conflicts of interest were reported.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
</recommendedContent>