<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<recommendedContent xmlns="http://api.mspoke.com">
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_384"
                     title="Few Surprises in Warning Signs for Infections in Kids (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.012"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/GeneralInfectiousDisease/tb/18276?impressionId=1265794400656"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Cyanosis, rapid breathing, poor peripheral perfusion, and petechial rash are red flags for serious childhood infection, a systematic review affirmed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Parental concern and physician instinct were also strong warning signs of serious illness in children in developed countries, but only in the primary care setting, Ann Van den Bruel, MD, of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium, and colleagues reported online in &lt;em&gt;The Lancet&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers also looked for &quot;rule-out&quot; signs, with a negative likelihood ratio of less than 0.2, but found none, highlighting the difficulties facing clinicians.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nor were any of the red flags consistent at presentation in serious cases, suggesting that effective safeguards are needed, they said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;There should be more emphasis on parental concern in the diagnostic process,&quot; they wrote. &quot;However, we now need to identify the level of risk at which clinical action should be taken.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;While the warning signs will be no surprise to most physicians, the poor evidence base should be shocking, Martin Dawes, MBBS, MD, of McGill University in Montreal, wrote in an accompanying editorial.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Only one of the 30 studies included in the review was conducted in a primary setting, but that&apos;s the most common environment in which sick children are seen, he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;What is clear is that in 2010 we do not know how to effectively recognize or rule out severe disease in ill children and, what is more, we do not even have a cohesive national or even global research strategy to address this problem,&quot; he wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The World Health Organization has sponsored large scale studies to address these issues in resource-poor countries, Van den Bruel&apos;s group noted, but the range of diseases is different in developed countries, so that evidence doesn&apos;t generalize.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The investigators reviewed studies of diagnostic accuracy or prediction rules for serious infection (mostly sepsis, bacteremia, meningitis, pneumonia, or urinary tract infection) in otherwise healthy children ages 1 month to 18 years, using features assessable in an ambulatory care setting.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The studies had generally modest quality and were predominantly conducted in emergency departments.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Fever of 104&amp;#176;F or more increased the likelihood of serious infection from 0.8% to 5.0% in the lowest prevalence setting.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In the one primary care study where there was a low prevalence of disease (under 5%), a parent&apos;s concern that her child&apos;s illness was different from prior illnesses had a positive likelihood ratio of 14.40 for serious infection, while the clinician&apos;s instinct that something is wrong had a 23.50 positive likelihood ratio.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Other predictors of the presence of serious infection and their positive likelihood ratios were: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Turning blue (52.20)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Poor peripheral circulation (4.71 to 38.80 in the low-to-intermediate prevalence setting and 2.39 to 17.70 in the high-prevalence setting)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Rapid breathing (1.26 to 9.78)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Shortness of breath (1.11 to 9.30)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Meningeal irritation (2.57 to 275)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Petechial rash (6.18 to 83.70)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Unconsciousness (19.80 to 155)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Changed crying pattern was a potential red flag in a low prevalence setting with a positive likelihood ratio of 10.50, but actually was associated with reduced probability of serious disease in a high prevalence setting (positive likelihood ratio 0.49 to 0.74).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Sending all children with a probability of serious infection greater than 5% to the hospital would overwhelm services there, although parents would &quot;probably be unhappy to know that their child was not being referred despite a 1 in 20 risk of serious infection,&quot; the researchers observed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The most widely studied decision rule, the Yale Observation Scale, had disappointingly little value in confirming the possibility of serious infection, they noted (positive likelihood ratio range 1.10 to 6.70, negative likelihood ratio range 0.16 to 0.97).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The best performing clinical decision rule for excluding serious infection was a five-stage system with a negative likelihood ratio of 0.04.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers noted that these findings largely fit with those identified by WHO for developing countries, with the exception of difficulty feeding. The current review found that wasn&apos;t helpful in developed areas.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They cautioned that their review was only as strong as the studies included and was particularly limited by the paucity of studies in the initial presentation primary care setting and difficulties of knowing how reproducible the findings were.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The study was funded by the Health Technology Assessment and National Institute for Health Research National School for Primary Care Research. The researchers reported no conflicts of interest.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Dawes reported no conflicts of interest.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_310"
                     title="Rotavirus Vaccine Effective in Third World Nations (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.006"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/Pediatrics/Vaccines/tb/18174?impressionId=1265794400656"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Vaccination against rotavirus appears to be highly effective in reducing death and serious gastrointestinal disease among young children in developing countries, according to two&lt;strong&gt; &lt;/strong&gt;publications in the Jan. 28 &lt;em&gt;New England Journal of Medicine.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In Malawi and South Africa, a vaccination program significantly reduced infantile gastroenteritis associated with the pathogen, researchers said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In a companion paper, investigators reported that a rotavirus vaccination program in Mexico appears to have been the cause of a marked reduction in deaths from diarrhea among young children.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Taken together, the two studies suggest that physicians have &quot;another powerful weapon&quot; to help prevent death from diarrhea among young children, according to Mathuram Santosham, MD, of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, who was not involved in the research.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It is time to act to combat the 1.8 million unnecessary deaths from diarrhea that continue to occur each year,&quot; Santosham wrote in an accompanying editorial.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Two oral, live attenuated vaccines against rotavirus have been shown to prevent the associated gastroenteritis  --  GlaxoSmithKline&apos;s Rotarix and Merck&apos;s RotaTeq, according to Nigel Cunliffe, MBChB, PhD, of the University of Liverpool in England, and colleagues.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But trials of those drugs mainly occurred in more developed countries, the researchers noted, so the World Health Organization  --  fearing they might not work as well among the very poor  --  suggested additional trials in the Third World.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To fill the knowledge gap, Cunliffe and colleagues conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled trial in Malawi and South Africa, enrolling 4,939 healthy infants.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They were assigned to get either three doses of placebo (at six, 10, and 14 weeks of age), two doses of the Rotarix vaccine and one of placebo to maintain blinding, or three doses of the vaccine.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers found: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Severe gastroenteritis caused by rotavirus occurred in 4.9% of the placebo group and in 1.9% of the pooled vaccine group, yielding a vaccine efficacy of 61.2%, which was significant at &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.001. &lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Vaccine efficacy was lower in Malawi than in South Africa  --  49.4% versus 76.9%. But the vaccine prevented more cases of severe rotavirus gastroenteritis in Malawi  --  6.7 cases prevented per 100 infants vaccinated yearly versus 4.2.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Efficacy against all-cause severe gastroenteritis was 30.2%.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;At least one serious adverse event was reported in 9.7% of the vaccinated infants and 11.5% of the placebo group, but only three were judged to be related to the vaccine.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;There was a single case of intussusception -- a 6-month-old child in the three-dose vaccine group, who recovered after bowel resection.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The findings have led WHO to recommend that rotavirus vaccination be included in all national immunization programs, Cunliffe and colleagues noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mexico phased in rotavirus vaccination over slightly more than a year, from February 2006 through May 2007, according to Manish Patel, MD, of the CDC, and colleagues.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To estimate the effect of the program, Patel and colleagues compared annual deaths from diarrhea before and after the immunization program began.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Over the four years before the program started, the median annual number of diarrhea-related deaths among children younger than five was 1,793, the researchers found, for a mortality rate of 18.1 deaths per 100,000.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In 2008, by contrast, there were 1,118 deaths, a reduction of 765, which yielded a mortality rate of 11.8 per 100,000 children, they reported in the journal.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The rate reduction of 35% was significant at &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.001, Patel and colleagues said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The findings come with some caveats, the researchers said. Among them: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;It was not possible to pin down the reduction in deaths attributable to vaccination because precise vaccine coverage information is lacking. &lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Other changes, such as hygiene improvements, might also have affected the trend.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Because of difficulty obtaining fecal specimens, it wasn&apos;t possible to study trends in rotavirus deaths specifically.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;While the studies suggests that rotavirus vaccination would prevent much disease and many deaths, there are obstacles to introducing the vaccine to poorer countries, Santosham noted in the editorial.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A key obstacle, he said, is that the vaccine requires more refrigeration  --  so-called &quot;cold-chain&quot; storage  --  than typical childhood vaccines.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Also problematic, he said, is the current recommendation that the vaccines be given early in life to avoid age-dependent occurrence of intussusception, which led to an earlier vaccine being taken off the market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In many of the poorest countries, on-time vaccination is rare, which may impede the use of a rotavirus vaccine unless the time window for administration can be opened wider, he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The African study was supported by GlaxoSmithKline and the PATH Rotavirus Vaccine Program, a collaboration with the World Health Organization and the CDC with support from the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization (GAVI). Cunliffe reported financial links with Sanofi Pasteur and GlaxoSmithKline.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;For the Mexican study, the researchers did not report any external support or any conflicts.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Santosham reported financial links with GlaxoSmithKline and Merck, both of which make rotavirus vaccines.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_277"
                     title="Liver Cell Culture System Might Test New HCV Drugs (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.003"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/Hepatitis/tb/18133?impressionId=1265794400656"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Researchers say they can now grow liver cells that maintain their functions long enough to test potential treatments for hepatitis C.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The method uses so-called &quot;micropatterned co-cultures&quot; of primary human hepatocytes and supportive stroma, according to Sangeeta N. Bhatia, MD, PhD, of MIT, and colleagues.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The co-cultures were able to support the entire life cycle of hepatitis C, including infection and replication, Bhatia and colleagues reported online in the &lt;em&gt;Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Coupled with reporter systems, the co-cultures have &quot;potential as a high-throughput platform for simultaneous assessment of in vitro efficacy and toxicity&quot; of antiviral drugs, the researchers said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The lack of such a system has been a roadblock to testing potential treatments for the virus, which affects 130 million people around the world, the researchers noted in the journal.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Recently, they added, researchers have been able to propagate the virus in human hepatoma cells, but those cells, among other issues, proliferate abnormally and have disturbed gene expression.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To overcome those obstacles, the researchers turned to primary hepatocytes, which would make a better test system, except that they are notoriously hard to maintain in culture.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To form the co-cultures, Bhatia and colleagues seeded multi-well plates with human hepatocytes, followed several hours later by murine fibroblasts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;If you just put cells on a surface in an unorganized way, they lose their function very quickly,&quot; Bhatia said in a statement. &quot;If you specify which cells sit next to each other, you can extend the lifetime of the cells and help them maintain their function.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In a series of experiments, Bhatia and colleagues found:&lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Pseudoparticles bearing the hepatitis C glycoproteins E1 and E2 were able to infect between 1% and 3% of the hepatocytes, but did not infect the fibroblasts.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;A hepatitis C virus modified to express a fluorescent protein persistently replicated over a two-week period.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Infectious virus was found in the co-culture supernatant from four through 12 days after initial infection.&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers also tested some possible therapeutics, including antibodies against viral entry factors and viral protease inhibitors, and were able to show effects on replication of hepatitis C.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They were also able to test two or more drugs simultaneously to show the feasibility of combination drug studies using the system.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Although the system is &quot;an important step forward,&quot; Bhatia and colleagues said, the co-cultures have some limitations, including the relatively inefficient uptake of virus.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But they concluded that the co-cultures have the potential to be a &quot;highly valuable system for studies of (hepatitis C) biology.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;This study had support from the Greenberg Medical Research Institute, the Ellison Medical Foundation, the Starr Foundation, the Ronald A. Shellow Memorial Fund, the Richard Salomon Family Foundation, and the NIH. The researchers said they had no conflicts.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_183"
                     title="Gastric Bypass Extends Life for Most Patients (CME/CE)"
                     score="-0.004"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/tb/18020?impressionId=1265794400656"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;For most patients in most categories, bariatric surgery increases life expectancy, according to a new mathematical model.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Only when short-term mortality following bariatric surgery is expected to be high or the likelihood of success is low will the procedure fail to improve life expectancy, researchers reported in the January &lt;em&gt;Archives of Surgery&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Computer modeling predicted that a hypothetical &quot;base case&quot; patient  --  a 42-year-old woman with a body mass index of 45  --  would gain 2.95 years of additional survival following bariatric surgery, according to Daniel P. Schauer, MD, of the University of Cincinnati, and colleagues.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Surgery failed to be beneficial in the model only when 30-day mortality reached 9.5% or the likelihood that surgery would not add life-years was 2% or less, they found.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Baseline 30-day mortality in the model was 0.2%, and the baseline efficacy of surgery in extending life expectancy was 53%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;While not all patients are guaranteed a good outcome, our model indicates that gastric bypass increases life expectancy for most patient subgroups,&quot; they concluded.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their analysis was based on a Markov decision model using published data to estimate 30-day mortality following bariatric surgery and the efficacy of surgery in reducing long-term death rates.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The latter had two components: reduction in excess mortality associated with obesity, and research data on long-term mortality following bariatric surgery.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Excess mortality estimates came from National Health Interview Survey data on some 400,000 participants from 1991 to 1996 linked to the National Death Index. Inputs on surgery efficacy were derived from a 2007 study of nearly 8,000 patients who had undergone gastric bypass and the same number of medically treated or untreated obese controls.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That study found that the procedure cut death rates by half during about seven years of follow-up. (See &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/6480&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/PrimaryCare/Obesity/6480&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Missing Link Found: Bariatric Surgery Reduces Mortality&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Schauer and colleagues obtained rates of inhospital mortality following bariatric surgery from the 2005 National Inpatient Survey, then multiplied them by three to estimate 30-day mortality.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers explained that according to earlier research, inhospital death rates typically underestimate 30-day mortality by a factor of two to three.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Their threefold correction factor represents &quot;a conservative estimate that biases the model against gastric bypass surgery,&quot; they wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Schauer and colleagues tested this correction factor and other aspects of the model in sensitivity analyses.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The biggest gains in life expectancy occurred in younger women with relatively high BMI values, the model showed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The age effect was less important than BMI at the time of surgery. A 35-year-old woman with BMI of 45 would gain about 3.2 years of extra life, whereas at 55, a similarly obese woman would gain about 2.5 extra years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But a 35-year-old woman with BMI of 55 could expect to live five more years with surgery, the model indicated.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Men in general derived less survival benefit from bariatric surgery, particularly with advancing age at the time of the procedure.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;At 35, the difference in life expectancy gained was roughly 10%, but by age 75 it had grown to about 50%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The sensitivity analyses found that relatively large changes in most parameters used in the model did not affect the overall results substantially.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The effect of 30-day mortality on whether or not surgery was beneficial for long-term survival was related to BMI and gender.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For women with a BMI of 40, 30-day mortality of more than 5% would mean surgery was not helpful, but short-term mortality had to exceed 15% for surgery not to be preferable for those with BMI of 55 or more. These thresholds were about 10% higher for men.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The efficacy of surgery in reducing mortality was less important for older men, the analysis also showed. A 75-year-man with a BMI of 35 could expect only a very slight gain in life span  --  perhaps one or two months.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Younger patients have lower surgical risk and more time over which to realize the benefits of surgery. For older patients, the gain is smaller, and for some, gastric bypass surgery will decrease life expectancy,&quot; Schauer and colleagues wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, they identified several potentially serious limitations to the analysis.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The study of long-term mortality following bariatric surgery was conducted at a single center and was not randomized. Additionally, long-term complications, such as need for repeat surgery, were not addressed in the model. Certain other risks that might be heightened after bariatric surgery were excluded as well, and quality of life was not modeled.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The decision analysis presented here is a step forward in understanding optimal patient selection but also highlights some of the areas for which better data are needed,&quot; the researchers wrote.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases funded the study.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;No potential conflicts of interest were reported.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20090101_4_387"
                     title="&lt;em&gt;H. Pylori&lt;/em&gt; May Offer Kids Asthma Protection"
                     score="-0.005"
                     href="