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<recommendedContent xmlns="http://api.mspoke.com">
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_407"
                     title="ICU Catheter Infections Can Be Virtually Eliminated (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.011"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/CriticalCare/InfectionControl/tb/18308?impressionId=1265793046767"
                     
      Catheter-related infections aren&apos;t inevitable in the ICU, according to a quality initiative that maintained rates at nearly zero for three years in Michigan hospitals.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;The maintenance phase, after initial implementation of low-tech measures such as handwashing and removal of unneeded catheters, saw no rebound in catheter-related infections, Peter J. Pronovost, MD, PhD, of Johns Hopkins, and colleagues reported online in &lt;em&gt;BMJ&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;The first 18 months of their &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/GeneralInfectiousDisease/4771&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/GeneralInfectiousDisease/4771&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Keystone ICU initiative&lt;/a&gt; dropped catheter-related interventions from a mean of 7.7 and median of 2.2 per 1,000 catheter days down to 1.3 and 0, respectively.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;At the 36 month mark, infection rates remained almost nil, at a mean of 1.1 and median of 0 per 1,000 catheter days.&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;For the most part, hospitals view these infections as inevitable, as the cost of doing business, that patients are too sick, that these can&apos;t be prevented,&quot; Pronovost told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt;. &quot;That&apos;s just not true.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Catheter-related infections are the number one cause of preventable death in hospitals and ICUs, ahead of even ventilator-related pneumonia, he noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The changes seen at the 90 Michigan ICUs that stayed with the catheter-related infection initiative were impressive, representing one of the largest and longest improvements the field has seen.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Often, quality initiatives fail on durability after the study funding and resources disappear, and hospitals are left on their own, Pronovost noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;If you push you might get some effect, but then you stop pushing  --  in other words the external control goes away  --  and the performance goes right back down,&quot; he said in an interview. &quot;It can&apos;t just be the stick that drives it.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The intervention started with 103 ICUs that implemented strategies to reduce rates of catheter-related bloodstream infections rates over 18 months, with measurement and feedback of infection rates.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The strategies aimed at improving execution of five evidence-based recommendations, as follows: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Hand washing before insertion of the catheter&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Using gowns and full barrier precautions at catheter insertion&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Cleaning the skin with chlorhexidine before catheter insertion&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Avoiding the femoral site when possible&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Removing unnecessary catheters&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Then, over the subsequent 18-month maintenance period, ICU teams were instructed to integrate this intervention into staff orientation, to collect monthly data from hospital infection control staff, and to report infection rates to physicians and others.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Along with the sustained reduction in overall catheter-related infections, the researchers found a prolonged reduction in bloodstream infections that was significant during all study periods, compared to baseline.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Rates decreased from a mean of 7.7 and median 2.7 of per 1,000 catheter days at baseline to 1.3 and 0, respectively, at 16 to 18 months after implementation. They remained at 1.1 and 0 at months 34 to 36 (-1% versus 18 months, 95% CI -9% to +7%).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;ICU teams interviewed attributed the continuously low rates to five factors: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Continued feedback on infection data&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Improvements in safety culture as part of the project&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;An &quot;unremitting belief in the preventability of bloodstream infections&quot;&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Involvement of senior leaders&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;A noncompetitive, shared goal to reduce infection rates throughout the state&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Of these, Pronovost called culture change in the ICUs the key factor to sustainability, although the researchers cautioned that which aspects contributed were not formally evaluated.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They said they could not determine the impact incentive payments from Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan to hospitals that continued their participation  --  payments that were based on performance thresholds in subsequent years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Pronovost&apos;s team is now working to implement the quality initiative state-by-state nationwide, supported by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Technology.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It seems absurd that this wouldn&apos;t be in every hospital in the country,&quot; he said in an interview. &quot;It&apos;s worked on a large scale, it&apos;s exceedingly cheap, there&apos;s no fancy technology.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Success isn&apos;t only for community hospitals, Pronovost emphasized.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Large, often academic, medical centers frequently express the conviction that their sicker, more complex ICU population wouldn&apos;t produce the same results, that their infections truly are inevitable, he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;To them I say, Not so,&quot; he told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt;. &quot;We have shown at Johns Hopkins, at the University of Michigan, at Pittsburgh, using a similar but different approach, at Tufts  --  many large academic medical centers have had dramatic reductions of these infections.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The project was supported, for the period from October 2003 to September 2005, by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the Michigan Health &amp;amp; Hospital Association.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Pronovost and a co-author reported receiving received lecture fees from various healthcare organizations and grant support from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the National Patient Safety Agency, and the World Health Organization to study and improve quality of care, including catheter-related bloodstream infections.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Co-authors reported conflicts of interest with government agencies, Cubist, Astellas, Merck, Forrest, Cadence, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Lilly, Edward Life Sciences, and Sage.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_414"
                     title="H1N1 Vaccination Still a Good Idea, CDC Says"
                     score="0.009"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/SwineFlu/tb/18325?impressionId=1265793046767"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Although pandemic H1N1 influenza activity appears to have leveled off, the CDC remains wary of what the future may hold.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No states were reporting widespread influenza activity, and only six  --  Alabama, Georgia, Maine, New Jersey, New Mexico, and Virginia  --  were reporting regional activity, Anne Schuchat, MD, director of the CDC&apos;s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, told reporters on a conference call today.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Influenza-like activity remained below the baseline level for this time of year for the third straight week, Schuchat said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;That&apos;s fairly similar to what we would normally see at this time of year with seasonal flu,&quot; she said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, she said that the H1N1 virus continues to circulate, causing severe disease and death in some cases.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Although total activity is down, Schuchat noted that the proportion of deaths attributed to either flu or pneumonia is higher than the epidemic threshold, and has been for the past three weeks. The reasons were unclear, but she said there are no indications that the virus has become more virulent.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But, she said, &quot;H1N1 vaccination remains a good idea.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The most recent results of the CDC&apos;s National H1N1 Flu Survey revealed that about 70 million people, or 23.4% of Americans, have been vaccinated so far. About 76 million doses of the vaccine have been used because of the requirement that children younger than 10 get two.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;About 37% of children up to age 18 have been vaccinated. For those younger than 10, 37% have received their second dose.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Vaccine supply remains ample, Schuchat said, with about 124 million doses shipped around the country up to this point.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Citing an &quot;unprecedented&quot; effort to monitor safety, she said there have not been any major safety concerns identified.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;So if safety was the reason that you were waiting, I think you can be reassured on that front.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;

    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_410"
                     title="Most Adults Are Not Getting Necessary Vaccinations"
                     score="0.009"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/Pneumonia/tb/18317?impressionId=1265793046767"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;Public health experts say they&apos;re concerned about the low number of U.S. adults who receive recommended vaccinations  --  and in particular about seniors who aren&apos;t immunized against pneumonia.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As of 2008, one-third of people 65 and older had not received the pneumococcal vaccine, according to a report issued by the Trust for America&apos;s Health (TFAH), the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA), and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In 36 states, 30% or more of their older residents had not received the vaccine.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The worst coverage was in the District of Columbia, where 45.6% of seniors had not been vaccinated. Even in the best performing state, Oregon, more than a quarter (26.8%) of older people had not received the one-time shot.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Among all adults, the investigators also found extremely low rates of immunization against tetanus, diphtheria, and pertussis (2.1%), shingles (&amp;lt;2%), human papillomavirus (10%), and seasonal influenza (36.1%).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The vaccination efforts around the 2009 H1N1 outbreak actually showed how well our public health system can react to vaccinate millions of people in a very short amount of time,&quot; L.J. Tan, PhD, director of medicine and public health for the American Medical Association, told reporters in a conference call.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;But I think our response also clearly demonstrated that we do have a lack of a strategy and a system for vaccinating adults.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Added Jeffrey Levi, PhD, executive director of TFAH, &quot;We need a national strategy to make vaccines a regular part of medical care and to educate Americans about the effectiveness and safety of vaccines.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doing so could avoid 40,000 to 50,000 deaths from vaccine-preventable illnesses and save about $10 billion in healthcare costs each year, he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But, according to William Schaffner, MD, chair of IDSA&apos;s immunization working group and a co-author of the report, there are many obstacles to adult vaccination efforts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;First, unlike children in school, adults lack widespread institutional access to immunizations nor is there a way to require most adults to undergo vaccination.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In addition, there are limited interactions with the healthcare system because, also unlike in children, care in adults generally revolves around acute care and not well care visits.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Insurance coverage also plays a major role in low vaccination rates among adults, and not just in the uninsured or underinsured.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most insurance plans do not cover routine vaccination, Schaffner said, a situation that would change under pending healthcare reform legislation in Congress. That would require insurers to pay for all vaccinations recommended by the CDC&apos;s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Schaffner also cited what he called misunderstandings and misinformation regarding the safety and effectiveness of vaccines, and the limited support for research, development, and production of vaccines as reasons for low immunization rates among adults.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It&apos;s a shame that we aren&apos;t focusing enough resources on the science to prevent disease and we don&apos;t have a system where we can better protect people by getting them all of the vaccines that are currently available,&quot; he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Tan outlined several recommendations the report makes to increase adult vaccination rates, starting with the creation of a program to provide vaccine coverage to uninsured individuals.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Also, he said, the CDC and local and state health departments should be given more funding to conduct public education campaigns to increase awareness about the importance of vaccination.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For their part, physicians should adopt practices to enable them to offer their adult patients vaccines at appropriate visits, like general physicals and cancer screenings, and to make a review of vaccination history a part of standard care.&lt;/p&gt;

    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_301"
                     title="Tight Glucose Control Fails in Septic Shock (CME/CE)"
                     score="0.003"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/CriticalCare/Sepsis/tb/18160?impressionId=1265793046767"
                     
      Septic shock patients treated with a corticosteroid get no survival advantage from tight glucose control or addition of a second corticosteroid to provide more mineralocorticoid activity, according to results of a randomized trial.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;Aiming for normoglycemia at 80 to 110 mg/dL rather than the standard 150 mg/dL had no impact on inhospital mortality rates (45.9% versus 42.9%, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.50), Djillali Annane, MD, of H&amp;#244;pital Raymond Poincar&amp;#233; in Garches, France, and colleagues found.&lt;br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;Inhospital mortality was likewise similar whether patients got hydrocortisone (Solu-Cortef) alone or with the addition of fludrocortisone ([Florinef] 42.9% versus 45.8%, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.50), they reported in the Jan. 27 issue of the &lt;em&gt;Journal of the American Medical Association&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This aggressive treatment strategy should not be routine, the researchers recommended.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;These findings largely match the general lack of benefit seen with tight glycemic control in recent studies with ICU patients overall.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The prematurely terminated &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/MeetingCoverage/SCCM/5096&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/MeetingCoverage/SCCM/5096&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;European Glucontrol Trial&lt;/a&gt; found no mortality benefit but a seven-fold higher risk of hypoglycemia with an 80 to 110 mg/dL target in the ICU.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/CriticalCare/Intensivists/13397&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/CriticalCare/Intensivists/13397&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;NICE-SUGAR&lt;/a&gt; study, 90-day mortality was actually higher in the tight glucose control group (27.9% versus 24.9%, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.02), although there was a trend for benefit in patients who got corticosteroids (&lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.06).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Glucose targets are being re-evaluated across medicine as the &quot;lower is better&quot; paradigm has had a safety asterisk added everywhere from diabetes care to the ICU, noted Richard Bergenstal, MD, American Diabetes Association president for medicine and science.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;All of a sudden it&apos;s becoming more than a single number,&quot; he told &lt;em&gt;MedPage Today&lt;/em&gt;. &quot;Now be it inpatient or outpatient, we&apos;re realizing that ... you have to do it while you&apos;re minimizing hypoglycemia.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A more nuanced and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/Cardiology/Diabetes/13818&quot; mce_href=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/Cardiology/Diabetes/13818&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;individualized&lt;/a&gt; strategy is prudent, Bergenstal agreed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The current clinical uncertainty underscores the need for large-scale international cooperation to get adequately powered trials, according to an accompanying editorial.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In it, Greet Van den Berghe, MD, PhD, of the Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium, cautioned that Annane&apos;s Corticosteroids and Intensive Insulin Therapy for Septic Shock (COIITSS) study was grossly underpowered.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The initial studies that led to rapid adoption of intensive insulin therapy in ICUs around the world had suggested an absolute reduction in mortality of only 3%, whereas the COIITSS study projected a 12.5% absolute benefit.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;More importantly, the study achieved mean glucose levels of only between 120 and 130 mg/dL in the intervention group for whom the aim was 80 to 110 mg/dL, which resulted in considerable overlap with the standard care group for whom mean levels were about 145 mg/dL.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This could account for the lack of difference in outcome, Van den Berghe said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But the intensive insulin group did have &quot;markedly&quot; lower blood glucose levels for the duration of their ICU stay and spent more time in the 80 to 110 mg/dL range compared with the standard care group (both &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;&amp;lt;0.00001), the researchers noted.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Because corticosteroids further aggravate the &quot;diabetes of injury&quot; seen with septic shock, Annane&apos;s group undertook a multicenter trial of 509 adults treated for septic shock with multiple organ dysfunction over a three year period at 11 ICUs in France.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Patients were randomly assigned to tight glucose control using continuous intravenous insulin infusion to target a glucose level of 80 to 110 mg/dL or conventional insulin therapy targeted to guidelines-recommended 150 mg/dL or under. They were additionally randomized to receive hydrocortisone alone (50-mg bolus every six hours) or in combination with fludrocortisone (50-&amp;#956;g tablets once daily) for seven days.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Aside from the lack of inhospital mortality advantage, tight glucose control also failed to produce a benefit for the following secondary endpoints: &lt;ul&gt; &lt;li&gt;Overall survival (hazard ratio 1.04, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.78) &lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt; ICU length of stay for survivors (median 10 versus nine days, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.68)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Duration of hospital stay overall (24 versus 22 days, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.87)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Median vasopressor-free days (four for both, P=0.58)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;li&gt;Median mechanical ventilation-free days (10 versus 13, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.51)&lt;/li&gt; &lt;/ul&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nor was there evidence for interaction with fludrocortisone in the primary endpoint (relative risk 0.89 versus 0.91 hydrocortisone alone, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.31) or benefit in any other endpoint.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The one effect of intensive insulin appeared to be an increase in episodes of severe hypoglycemia, defined by glucose falling below 40 mg/dL (mean 0.29 versus 0.14 episodes per patient, &lt;em&gt;P&lt;/em&gt;=0.003).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, having hypoglycemia did not increase the risk of death in intervention group patients compared with controls (45.2% versus 50%).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The researchers cautioned that the study did not rule out a benefit from some degree of glucose control compared with none.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;They also noted that healthcare providers were not blinded to administration of fludrocortisone, for which no placebo was available.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;float:left;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;border-color:#8dabbc;font-family:arial;font-size:12px;background-color:#DBE9F2;padding:5px;&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The study was funded by the Assistance Publique&amp;#8211;H&amp;#244;pitaux de Paris. The researchers reported no conflicts of interest.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Van den Berghe, through the Catholic University of Leuven, reported receiving structural research financing from the Methusalem program, funded by the Flemish government.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Bergenstal reported receiving research funding and serving on advisory boards for various pharmaceutical companies related to novel diabetes drugs but without any personal financial compensation.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
    </recommendedItem>
    <recommendedItem id="20100101_19_302"
                     title="WHO Calls H1N1 Response Imperfect"
                     score="0.002"
                     href="http://www.medpagetoday.com/InfectiousDisease/SwineFlu/tb/18165?impressionId=1265793046767"
                     
      &lt;p&gt;The World Health Organization says its response to the H1N1 pandemic could have been better, but was not unduly swayed by drug manufacturers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;We are under no illusions that this response was the perfect response,&quot; Keiji Fukuda, MD, the agency&apos;s top flu expert, told a hearing being held by the Council of Europe&apos;s health committee.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But he added, &quot;The influenza pandemic policies and responses recommended and taken by WHO were not improperly influenced by the pharmaceutical industry.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The council&apos;s hearing is a response to criticism by some European politicians, as well as elements of the media, that the danger of the H1N1 pandemic was exaggerated, perhaps to allow drug companies to score multimillion-dollar contracts for vaccines and antivirals.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In North America, many experts defended the response to the outbreak, which WHO last April declared a phase six pandemic  --  the highest level. The phases reflect that an infectious agent is widely spread and causing disease in the community, but they say nothing about the severity of the disease.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;I do not believe that the record supports the claim that health officials in the U.S. or WHO exaggerated the threat,&quot; said Andy Pavia, MD, of the University of Utah in Salt Lake City.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Pavia said in an e-mail that health officials had a choice  --  to assume the threat was minor or to react strongly.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The choice is obvious,&quot; Pavia said, &quot;and I would not want to be in a position of explaining to the families of victims why we planned for the mildest outcome.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For the most part, illness caused by the disease has been mild, although several thousand people have died around the world and many more were sick enough to require intensive care.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But the relatively low number of deaths has prompted Wolfgang Wodarg, MD, a German member of the council&apos;s Parliamentary Assembly, to dub the outbreak a &quot;false pandemic&quot; and call for this week&apos;s hearing.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;What we have experienced now is that millions of people have been vaccinated unnecessarily,&quot; Wodarg said. &quot;This is damage done to people, in order to earn money.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Fukuda, on the other hand, said today the pandemic &quot;is a scientifically well-documented event.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The labeling of the pandemic as &quot;fake&quot; is to ignore recent history and science,&quot; he said, &quot;and to trivialize the deaths of over 14,000 people and the many additional serious illnesses experienced by others.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Utah&apos;s Pavia echoed that sentiment. Ask any front-line doctor if the H1N1 flu was mild, he said, &quot;and prepare to get your head handed to you.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;One of them was Daniel Hinthorn, MD, of the University of Kansas Medical Center in Kansas City, Kan. &quot;As a physician who saw many patients with this disease, I believe it was very serious in many people,&quot; he wrote in an e-mail. &quot;The threat was not exaggerated, at least to my mind.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Even last month, as flu activity in the U.S. declined, he said his hospital treated 11 inpatients for the flu, including six in intensive care, while &quot;lots of others&quot; were being seen in emergency wards and clinics.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;On the other hand, to say the threat was exaggerated &quot;is merely to say the obvious,&quot; argued Philip Alcabes, PhD, of City University of New York City. By the time a vaccine was available, &quot;this outbreak was far less serious than feared,&quot; he said in an e-mail.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But &quot;reality-based skepticism about swine flu&quot; doesn&apos;t mean that people would refuse immunization  --  not if an outbreak was a real public danger, caused by a &quot;highly transmissible agent, likely to be virulent, highly preventable with reliably effective vaccine.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He warned that public health professionals must avoid &quot;falling in love with the most dire forecast and then pushing high-tech precautions against the worst-case scenario.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;When that happens, &quot;people have to be excused for wondering whether the officials, the media, and the pharmaceutical companies were in cahoots on swine flu,&quot; he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But several experts argued that preparing for a worst-case scenario was the responsible thing to do.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Sometimes, &quot;mother nature throws us a break,&quot; argued Howard Markel, MD, PhD, of the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;We responded to a threat without knowing the future,&quot; he said in an e-mail. &quot;A far worse outcome might have occurred if we did not take the threat seriously and H1N1 turned out to be worse than we initially predicted.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The public health response should be compared to the use of seat belts or auto insurance, according to Gregory Poland, MD, of the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Every day, he said in an e-mail, he puts on his seat belt before driving. &quot;I don&apos;t finish each day and say &apos;What a waste, I didn&apos;t have an accident,&apos;&quot; he said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It is (and remains) unpredictable as to whether this virus could further mutate or change in a manner such that it could literally turn deadly within weeks,&quot; he said. &quot;If this pandemic had been deadly (and you don&apos;t know until you are into it) and we weren&apos;t prepared, the criticism would have been overwhelming.&quot; Poland said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He and others also noted that the flu season isn&apos;t over yet.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;This argument should be taking place at the end of the flu season in late March, not now,&quot; said Peter Katona, MD, of the University of California Los Angeles. &quot;Flu is unpredictable, and this is the heart of the argument.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;This article was developed in collaboration with ABC News. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/upload/2009/10/1/14357_1.jpg&quot; mce_src=&quot;http://www.medpagetoday.com/upload/2009/10/1/14357_1.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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